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Netherlands U21 vs Lithuania U21

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Michelbrink L.
33'
Sapola M.
38' Event
Babadi I.
Assist: Kwakman D.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Netherlands U21 and Lithuania U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Netherlands U21
6%
Draws
4%
Lithuania U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Netherlands U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Netherlands U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Netherlands U21 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 Lithuania U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Lithuania U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Babadi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Bergen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lithuania U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 95 / 100
Lithuania U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 Lithuania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lithuania U21 conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Netherlands U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS Lithuania U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
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Lithuania U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0
Lithuania U21
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