Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Netherlands

2 - 2

Japan

Our Tip

Match Events

51'

van Dijk V.

Assist: Gravenberch R.

57'

Nakamura K.

Assist: Kubo T.

61'

Summerville C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Netherlands

30%

Draws

31%

Japan

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Japan have won more games recently than Netherlands.
Win probability leans Netherlands's way, sitting at 42%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Netherlands Clean Sheet 16%

Japan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Netherlands	Japan
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	16	21
Draws	9	6
Losses	6	3
Goals Scored	2.42	2.47
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 World Championship

Netherlands vs Japan

2:2

Nov 16, 2013 Friendly International

Netherlands vs Japan

2:2

Jun 19, 2010 World Championship

Netherlands vs Japan

1:0

Sep 5, 2009 Friendly International

Netherlands vs Japan

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands Compare

Top Goalscorer van Dijk V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Summerville C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kamada D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands 41 / 100

Japan 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Netherlands Japan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Netherlands has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Japan let in goals in 33% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands VS Japan

2 Goals Scored 2.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

08 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 1

Uzbekistan

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Japan

(Away)

29 Jun

Brazil

2 : 1

Japan

25 Jun

Japan

1 : 1

Sweden

21 Jun

Tunisia

0 : 4

Japan

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

31 May

Japan

1 : 0

Iceland

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