Sport Picks
Netherlands vs Morocco
World
World Championship 2026 Estadio BBVA, Monterrey 
Match Events
47'
47'
Diop I.
71'
71'
Sub
Ake N. In: Koopmeiners T.
Out: Ake N.
71'
71'
Sub
Brobbey B. In: Weghorst W.
Out: Brobbey B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Morocco advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Morocco carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Netherlands's way, sitting at 42%.
- Morocco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Netherlands Clean Sheet 12%
Morocco Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Netherlands | Morocco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 25 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 2.42 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 30, 2026 World Championship
Netherlands vs Morocco
1:2
May 31, 2017 Friendly International
Morocco vs Netherlands
1:2
Apr 27, 1999 Friendly International
Netherlands vs Morocco
1:2
Jun 29, 1994 World Championship
Morocco vs Netherlands
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Netherlands Compare
Top Goalscorer Gakpo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Morocco Compare
Top Goalscorer Diop I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Netherlands 40 / 100
Morocco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Netherlands Morocco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Netherlands found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Netherlands remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Morocco let in goals in 32% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Netherlands VS Morocco
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Netherlands
(Home) 30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2 Morocco
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3 Netherlands
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1 Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2 Japan
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1 Uzbekistan
Page 1 of 7
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2 Morocco
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1 Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2 Japan
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1 Uzbekistan
03 Jun
Netherlands
0 : 1 Algeria
Page 1 of 4
Morocco
(Away) 09 Jul
France
2 : 0 Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3 Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2 Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2 Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1 Morocco
Page 1 of 7
09 Jul
France
2 : 0 Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3 Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2 Morocco
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1 Morocco
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1 Morocco
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6
