Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands W vs Austria W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Asito Stadium, Almelo
Netherlands W Logo

Netherlands W

3 - 1
FT
Austria W Logo

Austria W

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Groenen J.
48' Event
Egurrola D.
Assist: Brugts E.
59'
Hanshaw V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Netherlands W and Austria W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Netherlands W
20%
Draws
23%
Austria W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netherlands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Netherlands W come out ahead of Austria W on wins alone.
  • Netherlands W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Netherlands W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 20%
Austria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands W Austria W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.25 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Austria W vs Netherlands W
1:3
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Netherlands W vs Austria W
3:1
Feb 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Austria W vs Netherlands W
0:4
Feb 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs Austria W
1:2
Oct 19, 2017 Friendly International Women
Austria W vs Netherlands W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Groenen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Egurrola D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Austria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Plattner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands W 76 / 100
Austria W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands W Austria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands W scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Austria W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Netherlands W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands W VS Austria W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands W

(Home)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

Austria W

(Away)
09 Jun
Norway W
2 : 1
Austria W
05 Jun
Austria W
1 : 0
Slovenia W
18 Apr
Austria W
0 : 0
Germany W
14 Apr
Germany W
5 : 1
Austria W
07 Mar
Slovenia W
1 : 0
Austria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)