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Netherlands W vs Canada W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Zadorsky S.
28' Event
Wilms L.
Assist: Brugts E.
46'
Sub
Beerensteyn L. In: Leuchter R.
Out: Beerensteyn L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Netherlands W and Canada W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Netherlands W
15%
Draws
46%
Canada W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canada W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Netherlands W haven't matched Canada W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Canada W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 18%
Canada W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands W Canada W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs Canada W
1:0
Mar 7, 2020 Tournoi de France Women
Canada W vs Netherlands W
0:0
Jun 20, 2019 World Cup Women
Netherlands W vs Canada W
2:1
Apr 10, 2016 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs Canada W
1:2
Jun 15, 2015 World Cup Women
Netherlands W vs Canada W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilms L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Canada W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands W 12 / 100
Canada W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands W Canada W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Canada W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Netherlands W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands W VS Canada W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands W

(Home)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
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Canada W

(Away)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
14 Apr
Canada W
3 : 1
South Korea W
11 Apr
Canada W
4 : 0
Zambia W
07 Mar
Canada W
1 : 0
Argentina W
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