Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands W vs Ireland W

World World

World Cup Women Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Beerensteyn L.
Assist: Wilms L.
48'
Kop L.
50' Event
McCabe K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Netherlands W
15%
Draws
40%
Ireland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Ireland W haven't matched Netherlands W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Netherlands W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Netherlands W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Netherlands W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 13%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands W Ireland W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 2
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Ireland W vs Netherlands W
3:2
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Netherlands W vs Ireland W
2:1
Apr 10, 2018 World Cup Women
Ireland W vs Netherlands W
0:2
Nov 28, 2017 World Cup Women
Netherlands W vs Ireland W
0:0
Jan 14, 2014 Friendly International Women
Ireland W vs Netherlands W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beerensteyn L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ireland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands W 39 / 100
Ireland W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands W Ireland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ireland W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Netherlands W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands W VS Ireland W
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands W

(Home)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

Ireland W

(Away)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)