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Netherlands W vs South Korea W

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Friendly International Women 2025 Mandemakers Stadion
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AI Match Summary

Netherlands W play South Korea W in the Friendly International Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Netherlands W averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. South Korea W averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Netherlands W won 1, South Korea W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 2, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Netherlands W and 1.75 for South Korea W. This points to a Netherlands W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Netherlands W
23%
Draws
29%
South Korea W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Netherlands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Netherlands W picked up more points recently compared to South Korea W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 12%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands W South Korea W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.13 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs South Korea W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miedema V.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Peddemors E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

South Korea W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands W 46 / 100
South Korea W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands W South Korea W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Netherlands W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Netherlands W attacking → ← attacking South Korea W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

South Korea W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Netherlands W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Korea W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 42
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25