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Neusalza-Spremberg vs Dresden

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sapina V.
30' Event
Kutschke S.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Batista Meier O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Dresden in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Neusalza-Spremberg
6%
Draws
90%
Dresden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dresden have won more games recently than Neusalza-Spremberg.
  • Win probability leans Dresden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Neusalza-Spremberg Clean Sheet 20%
Dresden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neusalza-Spremberg Dresden
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 17
Draws 0 4
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Neusalza-Spremberg vs Dresden
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neusalza-Spremberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Berge W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapina V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bogdanov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neusalza-Spremberg 10 / 100
Dresden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neusalza-Spremberg Dresden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SGD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neusalza-Spremberg scored in 100% of their last 1 games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Dresden let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Dresden has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dresden
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neusalza-Spremberg

(Home)
30 Jun
Neusalza-Spremberg
1 : 5
Dresden

Dresden

(Away)
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0 : 5
Dresden
11 Jul
Dresden
4 : 0
Kassel
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
17 May
Dresden
2 : 1
Holstein Kiel
09 May
Braunschweig
2 : 1
Dresden
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