Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021

Payasspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nevsehir play Payasspor in the 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nevsehir averaged 0.68 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Payasspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Nevsehir won 1, Payasspor won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Nevsehir and 1.00 for Payasspor. This points to a Nevsehir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Nevsehir

28%

Draws

34%

Payasspor

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nevsehir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Nevsehir picked up more points recently compared to Payasspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Nevsehir Clean Sheet 23%

Payasspor Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nevsehir	Payasspor
Matches Played	38	30
Wins	7	6
Draws	12	7
Losses	19	17
Goals Scored	0.68	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.66	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2021 3. Lig Group 1

Nevsehir vs Payasspor

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Dec 2, 2020 3. Lig Group 1

Payasspor vs Nevsehir

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nevsehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Tasdemir B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Turkmen M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Payasspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nevsehir 39 / 100

Payasspor 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nevsehir Payasspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nevsehir or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nevsehir attacking → ← attacking Payasspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nevsehir scored in 39% of their last 38 games.

Payasspor let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Nevsehir went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Payasspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 25

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	30	20	8	2	43:18	68
2	Bucaspor 1928	30	20	7	3	58:18	67
3	Malatya	30	17	5	8	50:27	56
4	Ofspor	30	14	11	5	43:31	53
5	Arnavutkoy Bl.	30	13	9	8	40:29	48
6	Edirnespor Genclik	30	12	9	9	34:31	45
7	Guzide Gebzespor	30	11	10	9	41:29	43
8	Hopaspor	30	10	9	11	41:44	39
9	Fatsa Bld.	30	10	8	12	22:31	38
10	Kizilcabolukspor	30	9	10	11	34:33	37
11	Nevsehir	30	9	7	14	31:31	34
12	Cankaya FK	30	10	4	16	28:48	34
13	Alemdag	30	9	6	15	37:48	33
14	Kemerspor 2003	30	7	6	17	27:50	27
15	Payasspor	30	5	8	17	29:56	23
16	Manisaspor	30	1	9	20	22:56	12