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New Caledonia U16 vs Tahiti U16

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U16 2024
Sun, Aug 11, 2024
2 - 1
01:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Iopue F.
64' Event
Tereroa R.
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U16 2024 game between New Caledonia U16 and Tahiti U16 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
New Caledonia U16
39%
Draws
31%
Tahiti U16
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tahiti U16 come out ahead of New Caledonia U16 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tahiti U16 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
New Caledonia U16 Clean Sheet 13%
Tahiti U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U16 Tahiti U16
Matches Played 19 14
Wins 6 9
Draws 2 0
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U16 vs Tahiti U16
2:1
Aug 2, 2024 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U16 vs Tahiti U16
1:2
Sep 10, 2018 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U16 vs Tahiti U16
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iopue F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tahiti U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tereroa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U16 30 / 100
Tahiti U16 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U16 Tahiti U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tahiti U16 conceded in 86% of 14 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

New Caledonia U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Tahiti U16 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U16 VS Tahiti U16
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U165
New Caledonia U160
Tahiti U161
Fiji U162
Final
New Zealand U163
Fiji U161
New Caledonia U162
Tahiti U161