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New Caledonia U16 vs Tahiti U16

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U16 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kutran B.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Colombani T. S.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Colombani T. S.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U16 2024 game between New Caledonia U16 and Tahiti U16 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tahiti U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
New Caledonia U16
40%
Draws
29%
Tahiti U16
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tahiti U16 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Tahiti U16 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
New Caledonia U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U16 Tahiti U16
Matches Played 20 15
Wins 6 10
Draws 2 0
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2024 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U16 vs Tahiti U16
2:1
Aug 2, 2024 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U16 vs Tahiti U16
1:2
Sep 10, 2018 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U16 vs Tahiti U16
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tahiti U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Colombani T. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U16 30 / 100
Tahiti U16 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U16 Tahiti U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti U16 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 15 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

New Caledonia U16 found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (20 games).

Solid form: New Caledonia U16 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U16 VS Tahiti U16
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U16330023:19
2Fiji U1632016:106
3Cook Islands U1631024:103
4Vanuatu U1630033:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tahiti U1633006:39
2New Caledonia U1631027:63
3Samoa U1631024:53
4Solomon Islands U1631026:93