Sport Picks
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
Australia & Oceania
OFC Championship U17 2023 
Match Events
24'
24'
Bruce N.
57'
57'
Coveny L.
57'
57'
Coveny L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with New Zealand U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U17
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and New Zealand U17 come out ahead of New Caledonia U17 on wins alone.
- New Zealand U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- New Zealand U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor New Zealand U17, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- New Zealand U17 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
New Caledonia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Caledonia U17 | New Zealand U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2023 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:1
Jan 11, 2023 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs New Caledonia U17
3:2
Feb 25, 2017 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:7
Jan 19, 2015 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs New Caledonia U17
5:4
Apr 19, 2013 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Caledonia U17 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
New Zealand U17 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruce N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Caledonia U17 10 / 100
New Zealand U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Caledonia U17 New Zealand U17
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.
New Zealand U17's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
New Caledonia U17 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
New Zealand U17 let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
New Caledonia U17 VS New Zealand U17
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
New Caledonia U17
(Home) 09 Nov
Morocco U17
16 : 0 New Caledonia U17
06 Nov
Japan U17
0 : 0 New Caledonia U17
03 Nov
New Caledonia U17
1 : 6 Portugal U17
17 Nov
Iran U17
5 : 0 New Caledonia U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
9 : 0 New Caledonia U17
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03 Nov
New Caledonia U17
1 : 6 Portugal U17
11 Nov
New Caledonia U17
0 : 10 England U17
28 Jan
New Caledonia U17
0 : 1 New Zealand U17
25 Jan
New Caledonia U17
2 : 1 Tahiti U17
21 Jan
New Caledonia U17
4 : 0 Samoa U17
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New Zealand U17
(Away) 11 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 4 Austria U17
08 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
3 : 2 New Zealand U17
05 Nov
Mali U17
3 : 0 New Zealand U17
18 Nov
New Zealand U17
0 : 4 Mexico U17
15 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 3 Germany U17
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08 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
3 : 2 New Zealand U17
05 Nov
Mali U17
3 : 0 New Zealand U17
12 Nov
Venezuela U17
3 : 0 New Zealand U17
28 Jan
New Caledonia U17
0 : 1 New Zealand U17
25 Jan
Fiji U17
1 : 4 New Zealand U17
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
New Caledonia U174
Samoa U170
Tahiti U175
Tonga U170
Fiji U173
Cook Islands U170
New Zealand U171
Vanuatu U170
Semi-finals
New Caledonia U172
Tahiti U171
Fiji U171
New Zealand U174
Final
New Caledonia U170
New Zealand U171
Tahiti U173
Fiji U170