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New Caledonia U19 vs Vanuatu U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2022
Thu, Sep 8, 2022
3 - 0
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Caledonia U19 host Vanuatu U19 in the OFC Championship U19 2022. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Vanuatu U19 have shipped 2.3 goals a game lately, while New Caledonia U19 have conceded 1.52 and scored 2.52. Past meetings favor New Caledonia U19 slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 8, 2022, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.75, favoring New Caledonia U19. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
New Caledonia U19
20%
Draws
20%
Vanuatu U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New Caledonia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Caledonia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Vanuatu U19.
  • Win probability leans New Caledonia U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • New Caledonia U19 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U19 Vanuatu U19
Matches Played 25 23
Wins 14 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.52 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Vanuatu U19
3:0
Aug 10, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Vanuatu U19
8:1
May 23, 2014 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U19 83 / 100
Vanuatu U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U19 Vanuatu U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Caledonia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

New Caledonia U19 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).

Vanuatu U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

Vanuatu U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U19 VS Vanuatu U19
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0
New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1
New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7
New Caledonia U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3
Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
Page 1 of 5

Vanuatu U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 23:0 9
2 Solomon Islands U19 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Cook Islands U19 3 1 0 2 4:11 3
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U19 3 2 1 0 11:0 7
2 Fiji U19 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
3 Papua New Guinea U19 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tonga U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia U19 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Samoa U19 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
3 Vanuatu U19 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams