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New Caledonia U20 W vs China U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U20 ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ouyang Yuhuan In: Zhou Xinyi
Out: Ouyang Yuhuan
46'
Sub
Yu Jiaqi In: Chen Ruilin
Out: Yu Jiaqi
46' Event
Xiao Yafei
Assist: Li Chenyu

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. This leg finished 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New Caledonia U20 W
15%
Draws
49%
China U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • China U20 W have won more games recently than New Caledonia U20 W.
  • Win probability leans China U20 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • China U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor China U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
New Caledonia U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
China U20 W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U20 W China U20 W
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.27 2.07
Goals Conceded 8.18 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 World Cup Women U20
New Caledonia U20 W vs China U20 W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

China U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Huang Jiaxin
3 Goals
Assists Leader Xiao Yafei
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U20 W 10 / 100
China U20 W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U20 W China U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

China U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

China U20 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

New Caledonia U20 W's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U20 W VS China U20 W
0.25 Goals Scored 3.63
9.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia U20 W

(Home)
13 Sept
Nigeria U20 W
10 : 1
New Caledonia U20 W
10 Sept
Spain U20 W
11 : 0
New Caledonia U20 W
07 Sept
New Caledonia U20 W
0 : 5
China U20 W
29 Aug
England U20 W
11 : 0
New Caledonia U20 W
08 Oct
New Caledonia U20 W
3 : 2
Tonga U20 W
Page 1 of 3

China U20 W

(Away)
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
10 Sept
China U20 W
0 : 0
Nigeria U20 W
07 Sept
New Caledonia U20 W
0 : 5
China U20 W
15 Apr
China U20 W
0 : 2
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Argentina U20 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Mexico U20 W 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 England U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Canada U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Tanzania U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 South Korea U20 W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Ecuador U20 W 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
4 Ghana U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U20 W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Japan U20 W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 USA U20 W 3 1 1 1 12:4 4
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Portugal U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Colombia U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Nigeria U20 W 3 1 1 1 10:3 4
3 China U20 W 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 New Caledonia U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)