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New Caledonia vs Malaysia

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Friendly International 2016
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AI Match Summary

Malaysia in this Friendly International 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malaysia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
New Caledonia
15%
Draws
46%
Malaysia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaysia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • New Caledonia have won more games recently than Malaysia.
  • Malaysia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 14%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia Malaysia
Matches Played 23 26
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.22 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2016 Friendly International
New Caledonia vs Malaysia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia 27 / 100
Malaysia 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia Malaysia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Caledonia's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Malaysia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

New Caledonia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia VS Malaysia
0.43 Goals Scored 2.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia

(Home)
27 Sept
Vanuatu
4 : 1
New Caledonia
24 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 2
New Caledonia
21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
08 Oct
Gibraltar
0 : 2
New Caledonia
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Malaysia

(Away)
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Bangladesh
0 : 3
Malaysia
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2
Vietnam
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
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