Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Kayara R.
28'
28'
Nemia K.
30'
30'
Kayara R.
AI Match Summary
New Caledonia in this World Cup 2018 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Caledonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to New Caledonia lately — more wins on the board than Samoa.
- Win probability leans New Caledonia's way, sitting at 90%.
- New Caledonia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor New Caledonia, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 20%
Samoa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Caledonia | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 1, 2016 World Championship
New Caledonia vs Samoa
7:0
Jun 5, 2012 World Championship
New Caledonia vs Samoa
9:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Caledonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Kayara R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nemia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Samoa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Caledonia 85 / 100
Samoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Caledonia Samoa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New Caledonia scored in 81% of their last 26 games.
Samoa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: New Caledonia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
New Caledonia VS Samoa
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
New Caledonia
(Home) 27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1 Jamaica
08 Oct
Gibraltar
0 : 2 New Caledonia
24 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 3 New Zealand
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0 Tahiti
17 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 New Caledonia
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1 Jamaica
24 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 3 New Zealand
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0 Tahiti
10 Oct
New Caledonia
3 : 1 Papua New Guinea
01 Dec
New Caledonia
3 : 2 Solomon Islands
Page 1 of 3
Samoa
(Away) 18 Nov
Samoa
0 : 8 New Zealand
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3 Tahiti
12 Oct
Vanuatu
4 : 1 Samoa
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2 Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2 Samoa
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Vanuatu
4 : 1 Samoa
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2 Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2 Samoa
16 Jun
Tahiti
2 : 0 Samoa
20 Mar
Tonga
1 : 4 Samoa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papua New Guinea | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 5 |
| 2 | New Caledonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Tahiti | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Samoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:19 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papua New Guinea | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 5 |
| 2 | New Caledonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Tahiti | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Samoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:19 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Solomon Islands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Fiji | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Vanuatu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Solomon Islands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Fiji | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Vanuatu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
