Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Pacific Games 2019 game between New Caledonia and Tuvalu finished 11-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and New Caledonia come out ahead of Tuvalu on wins alone.
- New Caledonia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Pacific Games 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors New Caledonia here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Caledonia | Tuvalu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 18 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.72 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 5.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: New Caledonia scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Tuvalu let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: New Caledonia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
New Caledonia
(Home)Tuvalu
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand U23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Papua New Guinea | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Vanuatu | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Samoa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:22 | 3 |
| 5 | Tonga | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:37 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 15 |
| 2 | Fiji | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Tahiti | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Solomon Islands | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 7 |
| 5 | American Samoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:36 | 1 |
| 6 | Tuvalu | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:42 | 1 |
