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New Caledonia vs Tuvalu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games 2019 game between New Caledonia and Tuvalu finished 11-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
New Caledonia
15%
Draws
57%
Tuvalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuvalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Caledonia come out ahead of Tuvalu on wins alone.
  • New Caledonia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pacific Games 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New Caledonia here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 20%
Tuvalu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia Tuvalu
Matches Played 24 18
Wins 14 4
Draws 1 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.46 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 5.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2019 Pacific Games
New Caledonia vs Tuvalu
11:0
Dec 5, 2017 Friendly International
Tuvalu vs New Caledonia
2:1
Aug 28, 2007 World Championship
Tuvalu vs New Caledonia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia 85 / 100
Tuvalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia Tuvalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Caledonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Caledonia scored in 83% of their last 24 outings.

Tuvalu let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Tuvalu's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia

(Home)
30 Sept
Fiji
2 : 1
New Caledonia
27 Sept
Vanuatu
4 : 1
New Caledonia
24 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 2
New Caledonia
21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
Page 1 of 5

Tuvalu

(Away)
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
27 Nov
Tonga
0 : 4
Tuvalu
20 Nov
Tuvalu
0 : 6
Vanuatu
17 Nov
Papua New Guinea
3 : 0
Tuvalu
17 Jul
New Caledonia
11 : 0
Tuvalu
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 4 3 1 0 20:1 10
2 Papua New Guinea 4 3 0 1 16:2 9
3 Vanuatu 4 2 1 1 25:2 7
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 3:22 3
5 Tonga 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia 5 5 0 0 22:0 15
2 Fiji 5 3 1 1 25:7 10
3 Tahiti 5 3 0 2 19:6 9
4 Solomon Islands 5 2 1 2 30:9 7
5 American Samoa 5 0 1 4 2:36 1
6 Tuvalu 5 0 1 4 2:42 1
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)