Sport Picks
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
World
World Cup Women 
Match Events
71'
71'
Gunemba A.
90'
90'
Kalapai K.
90'
90'
Gunemba M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-4, with Papua New Guinea W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- New Caledonia W haven't matched Papua New Guinea W's recent run of results.
- Papua New Guinea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Papua New Guinea W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Papua New Guinea W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
New Caledonia W Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Caledonia W | Papua New Guinea W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 36 |
| Wins | 9 | 24 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.57 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.57 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2026 World Cup Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
0:4
Nov 16, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W
0:0
Nov 23, 2023 Pacific Games Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
2:2
Dec 1, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs New Caledonia W
7:1
Nov 21, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
New Caledonia W vs Papua New Guinea W
2:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Caledonia W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28
Papua New Guinea W Compare
Top Goalscorer Gunemba A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kalapai K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Caledonia W 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Caledonia W Papua New Guinea W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
New Caledonia W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Papua New Guinea W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.
Recent resilience: New Caledonia W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
New Caledonia W VS Papua New Guinea W
0.57 Goals Scored 2.5
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
New Caledonia W
(Home) 15 Apr
Indonesia W
4 : 2 New Caledonia W
12 Apr
Thailand W
4 : 0 New Caledonia W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
02 Mar
New Caledonia W
2 : 1 Vanuatu W
27 Feb
Fiji W
5 : 0 New Caledonia W
Page 1 of 6
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
02 Mar
New Caledonia W
2 : 1 Vanuatu W
23 Nov
New Caledonia W
2 : 2 Papua New Guinea W
20 Jul
New Caledonia W
2 : 2 Solomon Islands W
18 Jul
New Caledonia W
2 : 3 Samoa W
Page 1 of 3
Papua New Guinea W
(Away) 15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0 Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 American Samoa W
08 Mar
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0 Fiji W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
27 Feb
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0 Vanuatu W
Page 1 of 8
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0 Papua New Guinea W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea W
10 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 8 Papua New Guinea W
12 Feb
American Samoa W
0 : 9 Papua New Guinea W
23 Nov
New Caledonia W
2 : 2 Papua New Guinea W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:0 | 9 |
| 2 | American Samoa W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Samoa W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Solomon Islands W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Third stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papua New Guinea W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Fiji W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 3 | New Caledonia W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Vanuatu W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:8 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Third stage)
