Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hutchinson D.
56' Event
Diarbian G.
Assist: Marcos Dias
62'
Sub
Buck J. In: Mussenden J.
Out: Buck J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2025 game between New England Revolution II and Toronto FC II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New England Revolution II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
New England Revolution II
33%
Draws
27%
Toronto FC II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: New England Revolution II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans New England Revolution II's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • New England Revolution II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
New England Revolution II Clean Sheet 15%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution II Toronto FC II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
2:1
May 4, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II
3:4
Mar 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New England Revolution II vs Toronto FC II
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution II Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diarbian G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Toronto FC II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution II 39 / 100
Toronto FC II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution II Toronto FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New England Revolution II scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Toronto FC II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Toronto FC II registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution II VS Toronto FC II
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution II

(Home)
26 Jul
FC Cincinnati 2
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0
New York City II
15 Jul
New England Revolution II
2 : 3
Columbus Crew 2
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4
Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6

Toronto FC II

(Away)
25 Jul
Inter Miami II
2 : 1
Toronto FC II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2
Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)