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New England Revolution vs Cavaly

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions League 2022 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Tue, Feb 22, 2022
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Champions League 2022. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. New England Revolution have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Cavaly's 1.5 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, New England Revolution have won 0 to Cavaly's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.92 - 0.88) back New England Revolution to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
New England Revolution
15%
Draws
26%
Cavaly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives New England Revolution a 59% chance of winning this.
  • New England Revolution have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 20%
Cavaly Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Cavaly
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2022 CONCACAF Champions Cup
New England Revolution vs Cavaly
0:0
Feb 18, 2022 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Cavaly vs New England Revolution
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 40 / 100
Cavaly 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Cavaly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New England Revolution Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Cavaly has conceded goals in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Recent resilience: New England Revolution stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Cavaly has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New England Revolution

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

Cavaly

(Away)
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
11 May
Juventus
1 : 1
Cavaly
23 Apr
America des Cayes
2 : 1
Cavaly
20 Apr
Cavaly
3 : 0
Juventus
09 Apr
Juventus
1 : 0
Cavaly
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Club Leon 3
Guastatoya 0
Seattle Sounders 5
Motagua 0
Colorado Rapids 1
Comunicaciones 2
New York City 6
Santos De Guapiles 0
UNAM Pumas 6
Saprissa 3
New England Revolution -
Cavaly -
CF Montreal 3
Santos Laguna 1
Cruz Azul 4
Forge FC 1
Quarter-finals
Club Leon 1
Seattle Sounders 4
Comunicaciones 5
New York City 5
UNAM Pumas 4
New England Revolution 3
CF Montreal 1
Cruz Azul 2
Semi-finals
Seattle Sounders 4
New York City 2
UNAM Pumas 2
Cruz Azul 1
Final
Seattle Sounders 5
UNAM Pumas 2