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New England Revolution vs CF Montreal

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Montreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New England Revolution
44%
Draws
20%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Montreal haven't matched New England Revolution's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 11%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution CF Montreal
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
1:2
Jul 25, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
1:3
May 31, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs New England Revolution
0:3
Sep 18, 2024 MLS
New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 35 / 100
CF Montreal 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution CF Montreal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: CF Montreal conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: New England Revolution stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS CF Montreal
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%