Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew

USA USA

MLS Gillette Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Ceballos B. In: Miller P.
Out: Ceballos B.
24' Event
Arfsten M.
Assist: Rossi D.
54' Event
Turgeman D.
Assist: Langoni L.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between New England Revolution and Columbus Crew finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New England Revolution.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
New England Revolution
30%
Draws
34%
Columbus Crew
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New England Revolution come out ahead of Columbus Crew on wins alone.
  • New England Revolution are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 14%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution Columbus Crew
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
4:0
Jun 29, 2024 MLS
New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Turgeman D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Arfsten M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 35 / 100
Columbus Crew 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution Columbus Crew

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New England Revolution scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Columbus Crew conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: New England Revolution remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS Columbus Crew
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307