Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New England Revolution vs DC United

USA USA

MLS Gillette Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Yusuf A.
Assist: Turgeman D.
60'
Sub
Yueill J. In: Miller P.
Out: Yueill J.
60'
Sub
Gabriel Pirani In: Munteanu L.
Out: Gabriel Pirani

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New England Revolution.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
New England Revolution
40%
Draws
29%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to DC United.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 11%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New England Revolution DC United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 4 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 MLS
New England Revolution vs DC United
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs DC United
2:0
May 28, 2025 MLS
DC United vs New England Revolution
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 MLS
New England Revolution vs DC United
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 MLS
DC United vs New England Revolution
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusuf A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

DC United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New England Revolution 30 / 100
DC United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New England Revolution DC United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

DC United let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

New England Revolution went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

DC United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New England Revolution VS DC United
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307