Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Jack vs Bukavu Dawa

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
New Jack
39%
Draws
31%
Bukavu Dawa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bukavu Dawa haven't matched New Jack's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
New Jack Clean Sheet 20%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Jack Bukavu Dawa
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 6 2
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Bukavu Dawa
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs New Jack
2:1
Mar 31, 2025 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0
Nov 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs New Jack
0:0
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Jack 31 / 100
Bukavu Dawa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Jack Bukavu Dawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bukavu Dawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Solid form: New Jack remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: New Jack scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

New Jack VS Bukavu Dawa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New Jack

(Home)
18 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
New Jack
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
01 Apr
New Jack
1 : 2
AS Vita Club
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2
OC Renaissance
08 Mar
New Jack
1 : 0
Aigles du Congo
Page 1 of 6

Bukavu Dawa

(Away)
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0
AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0
Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)