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New Jack vs Bukavu Dawa

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
New Jack
35%
Draws
26%
Bukavu Dawa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Jack

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bukavu Dawa haven't matched New Jack's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
New Jack Clean Sheet 20%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Jack Bukavu Dawa
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 6 2
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.72 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Bukavu Dawa
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs New Jack
2:1
Mar 31, 2025 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0
Nov 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs New Jack
0:0
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 1
New Jack vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Jack 31 / 100
Bukavu Dawa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Jack Bukavu Dawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Jack Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bukavu Dawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Solid form: New Jack remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: New Jack scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

New Jack VS Bukavu Dawa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New Jack

(Home)
18 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
New Jack
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
01 Apr
New Jack
1 : 2
AS Vita Club
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2
OC Renaissance
08 Mar
New Jack
1 : 0
Aigles du Congo
Page 1 of 6

Bukavu Dawa

(Away)
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0
AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0
Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)