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New Lambton vs South Cardiff

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League Alder Park, Newcastle
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AI Match Summary

New Lambton in this Northern NSW State League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Lambton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
New Lambton
30%
Draws
23%
South Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New Lambton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Lambton lately — more wins on the board than South Cardiff.
  • Win probability leans New Lambton's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New Lambton have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
New Lambton Clean Sheet 16%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Lambton South Cardiff
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.6 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs New Lambton
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs South Cardiff
2:0
Jun 26, 2022 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs New Lambton
1:6
May 1, 2022 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs South Cardiff
1:1
Jul 16, 2021 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs South Cardiff
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Lambton 36 / 100
South Cardiff 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Lambton South Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Cardiff conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

New Lambton scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

New Lambton has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Lambton VS South Cardiff
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Lambton

(Home)
29 Aug
Kahibah
3 : 0
New Lambton
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2
Kahibah
15 Aug
New Lambton
4 : 3
Cessnock City Hornets
08 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
1 : 0
New Lambton
01 Aug
West Wallsend FC
0 : 2
New Lambton
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South Cardiff

(Away)
15 Aug
West Wallsend FC
1 : 1
South Cardiff
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2
South Cardiff
02 Aug
South Cardiff
1 : 4
Wallsend Red Devils
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0
Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
South Cardiff
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lake Macquarie 18 13 2 3 64:24 41
2 Wallsend Red Devils 18 12 4 2 58:26 40
3 Newcastle Croatia 18 11 0 7 45:37 33
4 New Lambton 18 10 2 6 41:30 32
5 Dudley Redhead United 18 8 4 6 26:26 28
6 Cessnock City Hornets 18 6 2 10 31:40 20
7 West Wallsend FC 18 5 4 9 27:47 19
8 Singleton Strikers 18 5 3 10 20:42 18
9 South Cardiff 18 3 4 11 15:32 13
10 Toronto Awaba Stags 18 4 1 13 23:46 13
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)