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New Mexico U23 vs Salt City

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Sun, Jul 14, 2024
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Mexico U23 host Salt City in the USL League Two 2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. New Mexico U23 have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Salt City's 1.76 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor New Mexico U23 slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 14, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.38) back New Mexico U23 to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
New Mexico U23
35%
Draws
42%
Salt City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salt City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • New Mexico U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Salt City a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Salt City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Mexico U23 Salt City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 USL League Two
New Mexico U23 vs Salt City
0:0
Jul 2, 2024 USL League Two
Salt City vs New Mexico U23
1:1
Jul 14, 2023 USL League Two
Salt City vs New Mexico U23
3:4
Jun 9, 2023 USL League Two
New Mexico U23 vs Salt City
0:3
Jun 17, 2022 USL League Two
Salt City vs New Mexico U23
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Mexico U23 10 / 100
Salt City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Mexico U23 Salt City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salt City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Mexico U23 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Salt City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

New Mexico U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Mexico U23 VS Salt City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

New Mexico U23

(Home)
09 Jul
New Mexico U23
0 : 2
Albion Colorado
02 Jul
Salt City
1 : 1
New Mexico U23
30 Jun
Utah Avalanche
1 : 2
New Mexico U23
28 Jun
Utah United
2 : 2
New Mexico U23
16 Jun
Flatirons
2 : 1
New Mexico U23
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Salt City

(Away)
11 Jul
Salt City
5 : 1
CISA
07 Jul
Utah Avalanche
0 : 0
Salt City
02 Jul
Salt City
1 : 1
New Mexico U23
23 Jun
CISA
1 : 6
Salt City
21 Jun
Salt City
1 : 1
Albion Colorado
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