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New Mills vs Mossley AFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with New Mills advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
New Mills
20%
Draws
51%
Mossley AFC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mossley AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mossley AFC come out ahead of New Mills on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Mossley AFC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor New Mills, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
New Mills Clean Sheet 13%
Mossley AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Mills Mossley AFC
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2014 FA Trophy
New Mills vs Mossley AFC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Mills 31 / 100
Mossley AFC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Mills Mossley AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mossley AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mossley AFC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

New Mills found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (22 games).

Solid form: New Mills remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Mills VS Mossley AFC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Mills

(Home)
09 Jul
New Mills
0 : 1
Stalybridge
02 Jul
West Didsbury & Chorlton
2 : 3
New Mills
02 Jul
New Mills
0 : 3
Curzon Ashton
28 Jun
New Mills
2 : 3
Macclesfield
19 Jun
AFC Darwen
3 : 3
New Mills
Page 1 of 5

Mossley AFC

(Away)
29 Aug
Hallam
4 : 3
Mossley AFC
25 Jul
Mossley AFC
1 : 0
AFC Emley
11 Jul
Mossley AFC
1 : 0
Radcliffe
06 Sept
Bridlington Town
1 : 0
Mossley AFC
26 Jul
Mossley AFC
0 : 0
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Chasetown 5
Norton United 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Newcastle Town 2
Grantham Town -
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Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Loughborough Dynamo 6
Spennymoor 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Lancaster 2
Bamber Bridge 6
Spalding United 6
Soham 1
Bedworth United 2
Leek Town 5
Rushall -
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Cambridge City -
Stafford 1
Rugby 0
St Ives Town 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans -
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Farsley -
Matlock -
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Halesowen -
Neots -
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Scarborough Athletic -
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Radcliffe 0
Darlington FC 2
Curzon Ashton -
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Kendal 1
Northwich Victoria 2
Stamford -
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Barwell -
Witton Albion -
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Stocksbridge 3
Sheffield FC 4
Clitheroe 3
Droylsden 2
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Workington -
Market Drayton 5
Rainworth 2
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King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
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Carlton Town -
Redditch -
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Corby -
Trafford -
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Brighouse Town 0
Ossett Town 1
Gresley 2
Tividale 0
Daventry 0
Romulus 2
Prescot Cables 2
Salford 1
Burscough 0
Goole 1
United of Manchester -
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Brigg Town 2
Padiham 4
Ashton United -
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Buxton -
Nantwich -
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Skelmersdale -
Whitby -
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Ramsbottom Utd -
Mickleover 4
Coalville Town 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
Warrington Town 1
Ossett Albion 1
New Mills 2
Evesham -
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Banbury -
Frickley -
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Marine -
Hereford -
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Cinderford Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Bishops Cleeve -
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Clevedon 0
Mangotsfield 3
FC Witham Town -
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Potters 3
Royston Town 6
Egham Town 2
Bridgwater United 1
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Truro -
Dereham 2
Hanwell Town 1
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Enfield Town -
Tiverton 2
Wantage 0
Bashley 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth -
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Larkhall 2
Shortwood 4
Hitchin -
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Burnham FC -
Maidstone -
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Needham Market 1
Walton & Hersham 3
Sudbury 3
Whitstable Town 1
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Bognor Regis -
Metropolitan Police -
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Billericay -
Chalfont St Peter 2
AFC Hayes 1
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Barkingside -
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Kingstonian -
Ware 4
Great Wakering 0
Sittingbourne 2
Horsham FC 6
Peacehaven & Telscombe -
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East Grinstead Town 1
Walton Casuals 6
Three Bridges 4
Carshalton 1
Aylesbury United 2
Thamesmead 3
Lewes -
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Wroxham 2
Harlow 5
South Park 5
Cheshunt 1
Herne Bay 3
Heybridge 6
Leiston -
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Corinthian-Casuals 4
Leighton Town 6
Fleet Town 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
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Paulton Rovers -
Burgess Hill 1
Aveley 0
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Chesham -
Thurrock 4
Tilbury 3
Ramsgate 1
Folkestone 4
Slough Town -
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Margate -
Cirencester -
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Taunton Town 1
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Redhill 2
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Biggleswade Town -
North Leigh 2
Yate 1
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Poole Town -
Uxbridge 4
Romford 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hythe 3
Didcot 3
Marlow 1
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Bideford -
Bedford 4
Chipstead 3
Burnham Ramblers 1
Brightlingsea 5
Frome Town -
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Chippenham Town -
Whyteleafe 2
Redbridge 1
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Dunstable Town -
Leatherhead -
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Canvey Island -
Hornchurch -
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Harrow Borough -
Aylesbury Vale 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
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Merstham -
Histon -
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Belper Town -
Faversham 4
Beaconsfield Town 0
Hastings 0
Cray Wanderers 2
Hungerford -
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East Thurrock Utd -
Wingate & Finchley -
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Arlesey -
Hendon -
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Bury Town -
Chatham 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
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Worthing FC -
Tonbridge -
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VCD Athletic -
Hampton & Richmond -
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Grays -
Wimborne 3
Godalming Town 2
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Dorchester -
Guernsey FC 4
Barton 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Northwood 3
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Semi-finals
Chasetown 2
Newcastle Town 1
Grantham Town 1
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Spennymoor 3
Bamber Bridge 1
Spalding United 3
Leek Town 4
Rushall 2
Cambridge City 0
Stafford 0
Stratford 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Farsley 0
Matlock 1
Halesowen 5
Neots 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Darlington FC 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Northwich Victoria 0
Stamford 0
Barwell 1
Witton Albion 1
Sheffield FC 0
Clitheroe 0
Workington 2
Market Drayton 3
King’s Lynn 7
Stourbridge 5
Carlton Town 3
Redditch 1
Corby 0
Trafford 5
Ossett Town 2
Gresley 3
Romulus 1
Prescot Cables 2
Goole 4
United of Manchester 2
Padiham 0
Ashton United 0
Buxton 2
Nantwich 2
Skelmersdale 0
Whitby 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Mickleover 3
Kettering 2
Mossley AFC 2
New Mills 3
Evesham 2
Banbury 3
Frickley 0
Marine 2
Hereford 2
AFC Totton 1
Bishops Cleeve 1
Mangotsfield 5
FC Witham Town 2
Royston Town 1
Egham Town 0
Truro 3
Dereham 1
Enfield Town 0
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Weymouth 1
Shortwood 0
Hitchin 2
Burnham FC 4
Maidstone 3
Walton & Hersham 2
Sudbury 4
Bognor Regis 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Billericay 0
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Barkingside 3
Kingstonian 1
Ware 0
Horsham FC 1
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Walton Casuals 2
Three Bridges 1
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 1
Harlow 0
South Park 1
Heybridge 4
Leiston 7
Leighton Town 4
Fleet Town 0
Paulton Rovers 3
Burgess Hill 2
Chesham 0
Thurrock 2
Folkestone 3
Slough Town 2
Margate 0
Cirencester 0
Merthyr Town 2
Brentwood 3
Biggleswade Town 4
North Leigh 1
Poole Town 3
Uxbridge 6
Hythe 1
Didcot 5
Bideford 4
Bedford 4
Brightlingsea 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 3
Whyteleafe 3
Dunstable Town 1
Leatherhead 4
Canvey Island 3
Hornchurch 2
Harrow Borough 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Merstham 2
Histon 3
Belper Town 2
Faversham 0
Cray Wanderers 3
Hungerford 3
East Thurrock Utd 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Arlesey 2
Hendon 3
Bury Town 1
Chatham 1
Worthing FC 2
Tonbridge 2
VCD Athletic 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Grays 3
Wimborne 3
Dorchester 1
Guernsey FC 2
Northwood 3
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Final
Chasetown 4
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Spennymoor 4
Leek Town 3
Rushall 5
Stratford 0
Blyth Spartans 1
Halesowen 3
Neots 3
Darlington FC 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Barwell 2
Witton Albion 3
Workington 6
King’s Lynn 3
Stourbridge 1
Redditch 5
Trafford 2
Gresley 2
Goole 0
United of Manchester 2
Buxton 0
Nantwich 1
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Mickleover 3
New Mills 1
Banbury 3
Marine 2
Hereford 2
Mangotsfield 0
FC Witham Town 0
Truro 1
Dereham 0
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
Burnham FC 0
Maidstone 0
Sudbury 2
Metropolitan Police 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Barkingside 1
Horsham FC 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 4
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 4
Heybridge 3
Leiston 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 0
Slough Town 3
Merthyr Town 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Poole Town 2
Uxbridge 1
Didcot 2
Bedford 2
Chippenham Town 1
Whyteleafe 1
Leatherhead 4
Hornchurch 4
Merstham 2
Histon 0
Cray Wanderers 2
East Thurrock Utd 6
Arlesey 5
Hendon 4
Worthing FC 0
Tonbridge 2
Grays 0
Wimborne 2
Northwood 1
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