Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Project vs FK Smiltene - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2019
New Project Logo

New Project

1 - 5
FT
FK Smiltene Logo

FK Smiltene

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Smiltene in this 1. Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Smiltene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
New Project
15%
Draws
57%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • FK Smiltene have won more games recently than New Project.
  • Model gives New Project a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FK Smiltene have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
New Project Clean Sheet 20%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Project FK Smiltene
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.23 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2019 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs New Project
3:0
Aug 24, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs FK Smiltene
1:5
May 25, 2019 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs New Project
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Project 58 / 100
FK Smiltene 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Project FK Smiltene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Project Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FK Smiltene registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

New Project scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Smiltene
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Project

(Home)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

FK Smiltene

(Away)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Optibet Virsliga 2019 (Relegation)