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New Project vs Rezekne

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1. Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between New Project and Rezekne finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rezekne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
New Project
15%
Draws
21%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Project

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Project come out ahead of Rezekne on wins alone.
  • Model gives New Project a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rezekne have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
New Project Clean Sheet 20%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Project Rezekne
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.23 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Rezekne
0:1
Aug 17, 2019 1. Liga
Rezekne vs New Project
10:0
May 19, 2019 1. Liga
New Project vs Rezekne
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Project 85 / 100
Rezekne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Project Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Project Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Rezekne registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

New Project scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rezekne
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

New Project

(Home)
10 Nov
New Project
0 : 3
Dinamo Riga
02 Nov
FK Smiltene
3 : 0
New Project
27 Oct
New Project
0 : 1
Rezekne
19 Oct
FK Auda Riga
2 : 1
New Project
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
Page 1 of 6

Rezekne

(Away)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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