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Stadium Background

New Soger vs Malole

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Soger in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Soger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
New Soger
20%
Draws
51%
Malole
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Malole at 1.03 per game, New Soger at 0.97.
  • Model gives Malole a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
New Soger Clean Sheet 19%
Malole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Soger Malole
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Malole
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs New Soger
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Soger 24 / 100
Malole 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Soger Malole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malole Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malole conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

New Soger scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: New Soger remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Soger VS Malole
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Soger

(Home)
15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3
Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1
New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Malole

(Away)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
15 Apr
Malole
3 : 0
Blessing
02 Apr
Don Bosco
4 : 2
Malole
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)