Sport Picks

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New Soger vs Mazembe

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Wed, Apr 15, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Soger host Mazembe in the Ligue 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. New Soger have averaged 0.67 scored and 3.33 conceded recently, against Mazembe's 2.25 scored and 0.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Mazembe slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.65 - 2.79) back Mazembe to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Soger
6%
Draws
90%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Soger haven't matched Mazembe's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mazembe a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mazembe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
New Soger Clean Sheet 10%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Soger Mazembe
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 27
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.67 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.33 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.33 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Mazembe
0:3
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs New Soger
0:0
Nov 25, 2016 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Mazembe
0:6
Oct 16, 2016 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs New Soger
1:0
Jan 18, 2016 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Mazembe
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Soger 10 / 100
Mazembe 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Soger Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

New Soger found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Mazembe has conceded goals in 25% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: New Soger remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Soger VS Mazembe
0.67 Goals Scored 2.25
3.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Soger

(Home)
15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3
Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1
New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Mazembe

(Away)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)