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New Soger vs Mazembe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Wed, Apr 15, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Soger host Mazembe in the Ligue 1 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. New Soger have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Mazembe's 1.71 scored and 0.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Mazembe slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.56 - 2.56) back Mazembe to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
New Soger
20%
Draws
61%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • New Soger haven't matched Mazembe's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mazembe a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mazembe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
New Soger Clean Sheet 10%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Soger Mazembe
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 22
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.97 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Mazembe
0:3
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs New Soger
0:0
Nov 25, 2016 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Mazembe
0:6
Oct 16, 2016 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs New Soger
1:0
Jan 18, 2016 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Mazembe
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Soger 10 / 100
Mazembe 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Soger Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

New Soger found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Mazembe has conceded goals in 29% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: New Soger remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Soger VS Mazembe
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Soger

(Home)
15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3
Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1
New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Mazembe

(Away)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)