Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Soger vs Saint-Luc - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between New Soger and Saint-Luc finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Luc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
New Soger
35%
Draws
28%
Saint-Luc
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Soger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Saint-Luc have managed 0.7 goals a game lately — New Soger are scoring more at 0.97.
  • Saint-Luc are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
New Soger Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Luc Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Soger Saint-Luc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Saint-Luc vs New Soger
0:3
Nov 25, 2025 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Saint-Luc
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Soger 28 / 100
Saint-Luc 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Soger Saint-Luc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Luc Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint-Luc let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

New Soger found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

New Soger has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Soger VS Saint-Luc
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

New Soger

(Home)
15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3
Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1
New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

Saint-Luc

(Away)
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
05 Apr
Don Bosco
3 : 1
Saint-Luc
02 Apr
Blessing
1 : 0
Saint-Luc
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)