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New Star Ducos vs RC Riviere-Pilote

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Star Ducos play RC Riviere-Pilote in the Trophee Gerard Janvion 2019/2020. New Star Ducos are favorites here. Recently, New Star Ducos averaged 0.68 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. RC Riviere-Pilote averaged 0.71 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, New Star Ducos won 0, RC Riviere-Pilote won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 13, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for New Star Ducos and 1.00 for RC Riviere-Pilote. This points to a New Star Ducos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
New Star Ducos
25%
Draws
15%
RC Riviere-Pilote
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: New Star Ducos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • New Star Ducos picked up more points recently compared to RC Riviere-Pilote.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
New Star Ducos Clean Sheet 23%
RC Riviere-Pilote Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Star Ducos RC Riviere-Pilote
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 4 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.68 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2021 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Riviere-Pilote vs New Star Ducos
2:0
Dec 31, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs RC Riviere-Pilote
1:1
Feb 15, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs RC Riviere-Pilote
0:2
Aug 31, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Riviere-Pilote vs New Star Ducos
1:1
May 18, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs RC Riviere-Pilote
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Star Ducos 59 / 100
RC Riviere-Pilote 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Star Ducos RC Riviere-Pilote

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Star Ducos Win (1)
Secondary Pick New Star Ducos & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New Star Ducos attacking → ← attacking RC Riviere-Pilote

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Star Ducos scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

RC Riviere-Pilote let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

New Star Ducos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

RC Riviere-Pilote lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 20
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88