Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York City II vs Carolina Core

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Belson Stadium, New York, NY
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Flax C.
Assist: Campos A.
23'
Samb E.
26'
Sub
Martinez N. In: Hammond S.
Out: Martinez N.

AI Match Summary

New York City II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
New York City II
28%
Draws
22%
Carolina Core
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: New York City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Carolina Core haven't matched New York City II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives New York City II a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and New York City II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
New York City II Clean Sheet 17%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City II Carolina Core
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Carolina Core
3:2
Apr 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs New York City II
5:0
Mar 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Carolina Core
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs New York City II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Flax C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Pinho L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City II 48 / 100
Carolina Core 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City II Carolina Core

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carolina Core's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

New York City II's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Carolina Core lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York City II VS Carolina Core
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City II

(Home)
26 Jul
Atlanta United 2
3 : 2
New York City II
23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0
New York City II
11 Jul
Crown Legacy
0 : 3
New York City II
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4
New York City II
21 Jun
New York City II
1 : 2
Chattanooga
Page 1 of 6

Carolina Core

(Away)
25 Jul
Carolina Core
1 : 5
Chicago Fire II
22 Jul
Carolina Core
4 : 0
Inter Miami II
12 Jul
Carolina Core
1 : 2
Chattanooga
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1
Carolina Core
28 Jun
Carolina Core
1 : 0
Huntsville City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
2New England Revolution II19120728:2236
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC19110835:3331
5New York City II1890929:2928
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B20120840:3435
4Atlanta United 219100941:3033
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City19901032:3528
7Carolina Core21601527:3721
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
5San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
6Real Monarchs201001031:3626
7Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
4Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II19120728:2236
5Orlando City B20120840:3435
6Atlanta United 219100941:3033
7New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
8CT United FC19110835:3331
9Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
10New York City II1890929:2928
11Huntsville City19901032:3528
12Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
13Toronto FC II20801231:3825
14Carolina Core21601527:3721
15FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
7St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
8Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
9San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs201001031:3626
12Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)