Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York City II vs Columbus Crew 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Belson Stadium, New York, NY
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Flax C.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Musu S.
Assist: Samb E.
60'
Sub
Musu S. In: Hvatum H.
Out: Musu S.

AI Match Summary

Columbus Crew 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Columbus Crew 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
New York City II
15%
Draws
34%
Columbus Crew 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York City II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Columbus Crew 2 lately — more wins on the board than New York City II.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Columbus Crew 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
New York City II Clean Sheet 13%
Columbus Crew 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City II Columbus Crew 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.87 2
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs New York City II
4:2
May 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Columbus Crew 2
2:3
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs New York City II
1:0
Aug 22, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Columbus Crew 2
3:1
Jun 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs New York City II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Musu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Columbus Crew 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogers C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gbamble K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City II 30 / 100
Columbus Crew 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City II Columbus Crew 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York City II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City II found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Columbus Crew 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

New York City II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York City II VS Columbus Crew 2
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City II

(Home)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
01 Sept
Inter Miami II
4 : 2
New York City II
28 Aug
Toronto FC II
2 : 0
New York City II
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
Carolina Core
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
08 Sept
Toronto FC II
4 : 2
Columbus Crew 2
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)