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New York City vs Tampa Bay

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between New York City and Tampa Bay finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
New York City
33%
Draws
27%
Tampa Bay
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: New York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of New York City on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on New York City taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
New York City Clean Sheet 19%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York City Tampa Bay
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
New York City vs Tampa Bay
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York City 40 / 100
Tampa Bay 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York City Tampa Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

New York City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tampa Bay let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

New York City VS Tampa Bay
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New York City

(Home)
31 Jul
New York City
1 : 1
Toronto FC
25 Jul
New York City
3 : 1
Chicago Fire
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2
New York City
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0
New York City
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Tampa Bay

(Away)
25 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 3
Tampa Bay
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
FC Naples
04 Jul
Tampa Bay
1 : 4
Lexington
20 Jun
Brooklyn FC
0 : 2
Tampa Bay
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