Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New York Cosmos vs Hartford Athletic

USA USA

USL Cup Hinchliffe Stadium, Paterson, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Williams A.
15'
Puentes A.
40' Event
Coffey B.
Assist: Williams A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Hartford Athletic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
New York Cosmos
33%
Draws
40%
Hartford Athletic
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hartford Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Hartford Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Hartford Athletic taking it.
  • Hartford Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hartford Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 12%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Cosmos Hartford Athletic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 USL Cup
New York Cosmos vs Hartford Athletic
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hartford Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coffey B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 27 / 100
Hartford Athletic 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Cosmos Hartford Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

New York Cosmos found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Hartford Athletic has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: New York Cosmos stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS Hartford Athletic
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New York Cosmos

(Home)
22 Jul
Westchester SC
3 : 0
New York Cosmos
18 Jul
New York Cosmos
0 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
08 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 0
FC Naples
04 Jul
New York Cosmos
0 : 3
Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6

Hartford Athletic

(Away)
18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
11 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Westchester SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Orange County SC
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92
6South Georgia Tormenta00000:00
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams