Sport Picks

USA

USL League One Hinchliffe Stadium

New York Cosmos

0 - 3

Greenville Triumph

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Sub

Larsen B. In: Akio W.

Out: Larsen B.

17'

Herrera C.

45'

Fricke B.

Assist: Boyce D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Greenville Triumph in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greenville Triumph.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

New York Cosmos

33%

Draws

40%

Greenville Triumph

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Greenville Triumph

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Greenville Triumph lately — more wins on the board than New York Cosmos.
Model gives Greenville Triumph a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 13%

Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	New York Cosmos	Greenville Triumph
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	6	7
Draws	4	5
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 USL League One

New York Cosmos vs Greenville Triumph

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Mar 25, 2026 USL League One

Greenville Triumph vs New York Cosmos

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Cosmos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Greenville Triumph Compare

Top Goalscorer Akio W.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Fricke B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Cosmos 27 / 100

Greenville Triumph 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

New York Cosmos Greenville Triumph

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GVL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

New York Cosmos found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Greenville Triumph's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Greenville Triumph registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New York Cosmos VS Greenville Triumph

0.88 Goals Scored 1

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	16	10	1	5	25:18	31
2	Charlotte Independence	14	9	3	2	34:18	30
3	One Knoxville	14	9	3	2	26:12	30
4	AV Alta FC	16	6	7	3	23:18	25
5	Athletic Club Boise	16	7	3	6	23:23	24
6	Fort Wayne	14	6	6	2	20:12	24
7	Forward Madison	13	7	2	4	22:14	23
8	Spokane Velocity	15	7	2	6	17:21	23
9	Portland Hearts of Pine	15	5	5	5	24:24	20
10	Chattanooga Red Wolves	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
11	Sarasota Paradise	18	5	3	10	17:28	18
12	Corpus Christi FC	16	4	6	6	20:26	18
13	FC Naples	17	5	2	10	18:27	17
14	Westchester SC	15	4	2	9	23:23	14
15	Greenville Triumph	13	4	2	7	14:21	14
16	Richmond Kickers	14	3	3	8	12:24	12
17	New York Cosmos	14	3	1	10	17:33	10