Sport Picks
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
USA
MLS Next Pro MSU Soccer Park 
Match Events
17'
17'
Rodriguez B.
25'
25'
Sundstrom F.
28'
28'
Sequera G.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between New York Red Bulls II and Philadelphia Union II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: New York Red Bulls II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Philadelphia Union II haven't matched New York Red Bulls II's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans New York Red Bulls II's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- New York Red Bulls II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
New York Red Bulls II Clean Sheet 15%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New York Red Bulls II | Philadelphia Union II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
5:0
May 3, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New York Red Bulls II
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:1
Aug 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New York Red Bulls II Compare
Top Goalscorer Sokoloff P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Philadelphia Union II Compare
Top Goalscorer Harrington L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New York Red Bulls II 75 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New York Red Bulls II Philadelphia Union II
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: New York Red Bulls II scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Philadelphia Union II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Solid form: New York Red Bulls II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
New York Red Bulls II VS Philadelphia Union II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 33:29 | 36 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:27 | 32 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 4 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 6 | CT United FC | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 31:31 | 25 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:35 | 22 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:31 | 14 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 41:25 | 34 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 39:32 | 33 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 38:26 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 29:35 | 22 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:22 | 34 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 32:27 | 29 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 28:28 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 37:19 | 28 |
| 5 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 29:31 | 26 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 19:24 | 24 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 37:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 28:31 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 29:30 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 23:50 | 13 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 16:35 | 12 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 33:29 | 36 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 41:25 | 34 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 39:32 | 33 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:27 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 38:26 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 27 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 11 | CT United FC | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 31:31 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:35 | 22 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 29:35 | 22 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 22:32 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:31 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:41 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 36:16 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 37:14 | 37 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:22 | 34 |
| 4 | Minnesota United 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 28:31 | 29 |
| 5 | Ventura County | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 32:27 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 28:28 | 29 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 29:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 37:19 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 29:31 | 26 |
| 10 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 19:24 | 24 |
| 11 | North Texas | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 25:40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 23:50 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 16:35 | 12 |