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New York Red Bulls vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

USA USA

US Open Cup Sports Illustrated Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New York Red Bulls play Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the US Open Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, New York Red Bulls averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Pittsburgh Riverhounds averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, Pittsburgh Riverhounds won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for New York Red Bulls and 1.69 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. This points to a Pittsburgh Riverhounds double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
New York Red Bulls
15%
Draws
47%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • New York Red Bulls picked up more points recently compared to Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 13%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New York Red Bulls Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 US Open Cup
New York Red Bulls vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New York Red Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Forsberg E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Amann T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New York Red Bulls 37 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New York Red Bulls Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New York Red Bulls attacking → ← attacking Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York Red Bulls scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

New York Red Bulls went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 51
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63