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New Zealand U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U16 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Nunez M.
71' Event
Perez B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U16 in this OFC Championship U16 2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U16
6%
Draws
4%
Papua New Guinea U16
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U16 have won more games recently than Papua New Guinea U16.
  • Model gives New Zealand U16 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • New Zealand U16 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand U16, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
New Zealand U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Papua New Guinea U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U16 Papua New Guinea U16
Matches Played 20 11
Wins 17 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 3.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16
2:0
Sep 14, 2018 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U16 vs Papua New Guinea U16
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Papua New Guinea U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U16 85 / 100
Papua New Guinea U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U16 Papua New Guinea U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U16 found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (20 games).

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: New Zealand U16 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Papua New Guinea U16 let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U16 VS Papua New Guinea U16
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U16

(Home)
19 Jul
Vanuatu U16
0 : 7
New Zealand U16
16 Jul
New Zealand U16
6 : 1
Tahiti U16
13 Jul
New Zealand U16
5 : 1
Solomon Islands U16
30 Aug
New Caledonia U16
0 : 2
New Zealand U16
27 Aug
New Zealand U16
2 : 0
Papua New Guinea U16
Page 1 of 4

Papua New Guinea U16

(Away)
18 Jul
Fiji U16
3 : 0
Papua New Guinea U16
15 Jul
New Caledonia U16
0 : 1
Papua New Guinea U16
12 Jul
Papua New Guinea U16
4 : 0
Samoa U16
30 Aug
Fiji U16
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea U16
27 Aug
New Zealand U16
2 : 0
Papua New Guinea U16
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Fiji U161
New Caledonia U162
New Zealand U162
Papua New Guinea U160
Final
New Caledonia U160
New Zealand U162
Fiji U161
Papua New Guinea U160