Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Zealand U17 vs American Samoa U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2011 North Harbour Stadium, Auckland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U17 in this OFC Championship U17 2011 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
New Zealand U17
15%
Draws
85%
American Samoa U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: American Samoa U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Zealand U17 lately — more wins on the board than American Samoa U17.
  • Model gives New Zealand U17 a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 17%
American Samoa U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U17 American Samoa U17
Matches Played 38 13
Wins 24 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.79 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.47 6.46
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 OFC Championship U16
American Samoa U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:11
Jan 14, 2011 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs American Samoa U17
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U17 84 / 100
American Samoa U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U17 American Samoa U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Zealand U17 scored in 84% of their last 38 outings.

American Samoa U17 has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Difficult form: American Samoa U17 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U17 VS American Samoa U17
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 9
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U17

(Home)
11 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 4
Austria U17
08 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
3 : 2
New Zealand U17
05 Nov
Mali U17
3 : 0
New Zealand U17
18 Nov
New Zealand U17
0 : 4
Mexico U17
15 Nov
New Zealand U17
1 : 3
Germany U17
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American Samoa U17

(Away)
17 Jan
New Caledonia U17
7 : 0
American Samoa U17
14 Jan
American Samoa U17
0 : 11
New Zealand U17
22 Jan
Solomon Islands U17
13 : 0
American Samoa U17
20 Jan
Tonga U17
2 : 0
American Samoa U17
16 Jan
American Samoa U17
0 : 11
Tahiti U17
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Vanuatu U17 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Papua New Guinea U17 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Fiji U17 4 1 0 3 10:6 3
5 American Samoa U17 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U17 4 4 0 0 14:2 12
2 Solomon Islands U17 4 3 0 1 22:4 9
3 New Caledonia U17 4 2 0 2 27:6 6
4 Cook Islands U17 4 1 0 3 8:15 3
5 Tonga U17 4 0 0 4 2:46 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)