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New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ukich S.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Watson R.
49' Event
Kelly K.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U19
6%
Draws
4%
New Caledonia U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U19 have won more games recently than New Caledonia U19.
  • Model gives New Zealand U19 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Zealand U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 17%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U19 New Caledonia U19
Matches Played 16 20
Wins 16 12
Draws 0 1
Losses 0 7
Goals Scored 4.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 4.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:4
Jul 5, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
3:0
Aug 16, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelly K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.56
Avg xA / game 2.31

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U19 84 / 100
New Caledonia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U19 New Caledonia U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U19's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

New Caledonia U19 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

New Zealand U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U19 VS New Caledonia U19
4.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Solomon Islands U1933005:09
2Fiji U1932019:56
3Tahiti U1931022:43
4Vanuatu U1930031:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U19330018:09
2New Caledonia U1932014:56
3Samoa U1931024:83
4Papua New Guinea U1930032:150