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New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Mata M. A.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Spragg C.
62'
Sub
Bremond T. In: Taaroamea A.
Out: Bremond T.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 2018 game between New Zealand U19 and Tahiti U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U19
6%
Draws
4%
Tahiti U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand U19 come out ahead of Tahiti U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives New Zealand U19 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New Zealand U19 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U19 Tahiti U19
Matches Played 16 15
Wins 16 8
Draws 0 1
Losses 0 6
Goals Scored 5.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 5.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:0
Aug 19, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
1:0
Aug 6, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Spragg C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.95
Avg xA / game 2.56

Tahiti U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaspard E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U19 84 / 100
Tahiti U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U19 Tahiti U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U19 scored in 100% of their last 16 games.

Recent resilience: New Zealand U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Tahiti U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U19 VS Tahiti U19
5.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U19330020:19
2Tahiti U1932019:26
3Papua New Guinea U1931024:103
4Tonga U1930030:200
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Solomon Islands U1933005:29
2New Caledonia U19311111:54
3Fiji U1931114:34
4Vanuatu U1930032:120