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New Zealand U20 vs New Caledonia U20

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U20 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with New Zealand U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U20
6%
Draws
4%
New Caledonia U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand U20 taking it.
  • New Zealand U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand U20, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Zealand U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
New Zealand U20 Clean Sheet 20%
New Caledonia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U20 New Caledonia U20
Matches Played 36 13
Wins 20 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.88 0.33
Goals Conceded 1 6.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 6.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2016 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U20 vs New Caledonia U20
3:1
Mar 25, 2013 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U20 vs New Caledonia U20
3:2
Apr 25, 2011 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U20 vs New Caledonia U20
10:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U20 85 / 100
New Caledonia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U20 New Caledonia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Caledonia U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 13 matches.

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

New Caledonia U20's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

New Zealand U20's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U20 VS New Caledonia U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 6.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U20

(Home)
03 Oct
New Zealand U20
0 : 3
Japan U20
30 Sept
Egypt U20
1 : 2
New Zealand U20
27 Sept
Chile U20
2 : 1
New Zealand U20
07 Jun
Chile U20
2 : 1
New Zealand U20
04 Jun
Chile U20
3 : 1
New Zealand U20
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New Caledonia U20

(Away)
05 Oct
New Caledonia U20
0 : 6
France U20
02 Oct
South Africa U20
5 : 0
New Caledonia U20
29 Sept
USA U20
9 : 1
New Caledonia U20
13 Sept
New Zealand U20
3 : 1
New Caledonia U20
10 Sept
New Caledonia U20
0 : 1
Vanuatu U20
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U203
New Caledonia U201
Vanuatu U202
Solomon Islands U201
Final
New Zealand U205
Vanuatu U200