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New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Galic D.
46'
Sub
Collins A. In: Pritchard A.
Out: Collins A.
46'
Sub
Wisnewski G. In: Pijnenburg E.
Out: Wisnewski G.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2022 game between New Zealand U20 W and Australia U20 W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Zealand U20 W
6%
Draws
90%
Australia U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Australia U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Australia U20 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Australia U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
New Zealand U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Australia U20 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U20 W Australia U20 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.75 3.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Friendly International Women
New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W
1:1
Jul 11, 2024 Friendly International Women
New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W
1:1
Jun 12, 2022 Friendly International Women
New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W
2:1
Aug 17, 2006 World Cup Women U20
New Zealand U20 W vs Australia U20 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dugan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Australia U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U20 W 10 / 100
Australia U20 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U20 W Australia U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: New Zealand U20 W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Australia U20 W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

New Zealand U20 W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U20 W VS Australia U20 W
0.75 Goals Scored 3.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%