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New Zealand U23 vs New Caledonia

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games 2019 game between New Zealand U23 and New Caledonia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U23
6%
Draws
4%
New Caledonia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand U23 come out ahead of New Caledonia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pacific Games 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
New Zealand U23 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U23 New Caledonia
Matches Played 26 20
Wins 19 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2019 Pacific Games
New Zealand U23 vs New Caledonia
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U23 83 / 100
New Caledonia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U23 New Caledonia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U23 scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: New Caledonia conceded in 65% of 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: New Zealand U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U23 VS New Caledonia
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Stage 1
New Zealand U232
New Caledonia1
Papua New Guinea1
Fiji2