Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Zealand vs Chile - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

FIFA Series Eden Park, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Bell J.
23'
Osorio D.
27'
Osorio D.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand in this FIFA Series matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
New Zealand
15%
Draws
39%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Zealand lately — more wins on the board than Chile.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand taking it.
  • Regular FIFA Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Chile here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 68%
Chile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand Chile
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 FIFA Series
New Zealand vs Chile
4:1
Jun 9, 2010 Friendly International
Chile vs New Zealand
2:0
Apr 27, 2006 Friendly International
Chile vs New Zealand
1:0
Apr 25, 2006 Friendly International
Chile vs New Zealand
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbarouses K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Just E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand 59 / 100
Chile 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

New Zealand scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Chile let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: New Zealand remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand VS Chile
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand

(Home)
05 Oct
Japan
2 : 1
New Zealand
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2
New Zealand
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
Page 1 of 6

Chile

(Away)
07 Oct
Mexico
0 : 2
Chile
30 Sept
USA
4 : 2
Chile
26 Sept
Canada
1 : 0
Chile
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
06 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Chile
Page 1 of 6