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New Zealand vs Finland

World World

FIFA Series Eden Park
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Pohjanpalo J.
Assist: Walta L.
44'
Sub
De Vries F. In: McGarry J.
Out: De Vries F.
46'
Sub
McCowatt C. In: Randall J.
Out: McCowatt C.

AI Match Summary

The FIFA Series game between New Zealand and Finland finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
New Zealand
22%
Draws
60%
Finland
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Finland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand come out ahead of Finland on wins alone.
  • Model gives Finland a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FIFA Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 14%
Finland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand Finland
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 FIFA Series
New Zealand vs Finland
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Finland Compare

Top Goalscorer Pohjanpalo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oksanen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand 19 / 100
Finland 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand Finland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Finland conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: New Zealand scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Finland lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand VS Finland
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%