Sport Picks
New Zealand vs Solomon Islands
Australia & Oceania
OFC Nations Cup VFF Freshwater Stadium, Port Vila 
Match Events
6'
6'
Waine B.
11'
11'
Waine B.
25'
25'
Orobulu J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with New Zealand advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: New Zealand
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- New Zealand carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans New Zealand's way, sitting at 60%.
- New Zealand have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor New Zealand, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and New Zealand have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 17%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Zealand | Solomon Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 18, 2024 OFC Nations Cup
New Zealand vs Solomon Islands
3:0
Mar 30, 2022 World Championship
Solomon Islands vs New Zealand
0:5
Sep 5, 2017 World Championship
Solomon Islands vs New Zealand
2:2
Sep 1, 2017 World Championship
New Zealand vs Solomon Islands
6:1
Jun 4, 2016 World Championship
New Zealand vs Solomon Islands
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Zealand Compare
Top Goalscorer Waine B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Barbarouses K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Solomon Islands Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Zealand 57 / 100
Solomon Islands 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Zealand Solomon Islands
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
New Zealand found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Solomon Islands let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Away concern: Solomon Islands has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
New Zealand VS Solomon Islands
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
New Zealand
(Home) 27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5 Belgium
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3 Egypt
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2 New Zealand
06 Jun
England
1 : 0 New Zealand
03 Jun
Haiti
4 : 0 New Zealand
Page 1 of 7
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5 Belgium
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3 Egypt
30 Mar
New Zealand
4 : 1 Chile
27 Mar
New Zealand
0 : 2 Finland
09 Sept
New Zealand
1 : 3 Australia
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Solomon Islands
(Away) 30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2 Solomon Islands
27 Mar
Solomon Islands
2 : 10 Bulgaria
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1 Solomon Islands
13 Nov
Papua New Guinea
1 : 0 Solomon Islands
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2 Solomon Islands
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1 Solomon Islands
13 Nov
Papua New Guinea
1 : 0 Solomon Islands
17 Nov
Papua New Guinea
1 : 2 Solomon Islands
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Vanuatu | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Solomon Islands | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 4 | New Caledonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiji | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Tahiti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Papua New Guinea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Samoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup (Play Offs)